The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, and with Kyle Busch winning at Phoenix and Fontana within the last two weeks, he has been installed as a heavy favorite for today’s STP 500 in”The Paperclip”–and for good reason: Rowdy has not finished outside of the top 5 in this track because the 2014 season, and he has led a joint 582 laps over the last four (and 937 within the previous six). Of course, whenever you have the preferred in +150 to triumph, that means there’s some great value in betting others in the event that guy has problems during the race.
Last weekend in Auto Club Speedway my favourite bets went 2-0, bringing my yearly record to 5-3. I’d Brad Keselowski to complete top 3, along with his day went south early, so that has been screwed from the start.
My Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 Finish (+200) — The races at Martinsville are usually predictable: we see the same faces up front again and again, and we don’t watch Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do find him, though, is close enough to acquire if something goes wrong with the chief. Over the last three races at”The Paperclip,” Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, although he begins back into 8th for the STP 500, he’s got one hell of a race car under him for into the front. The 19 Toyota rated #1 in 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the final practice session on Saturday, and there is likely to be lots of long runs during the race. Truex will shine during those. If you look at this week’s ranks by the Fantasy Racing On line algorithm, Truex is a very close 4th supporting Logano, and if you look at current trends by pole sitters in the spring Martinsville race, I’d give that edge to Truex.
Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I’m honestly surprised Chris Buescher isn’t getting more love this weekend. This #37 team has never finished worse than 18th because the Daytona 500, and they have got a great starting spot for today’s STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, Hemric will start from back in 28th, also has a propensity to hit the wall more frequently than not. We have got 500 laps to race in today’s STP 500, and to be honest, I’m not sure he finishes. On the other hand, Buescher has completed 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his last four Martinsville begins, and he’s running better than he has likely ever conducted. This is really a no brainer for me.
Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for the STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1 )
Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1 )
Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1
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