The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 gambling odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) aren’t too far behind in what’s going to be the longest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to handicap the four best futures values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). However, this time rather than an All-Star shootout, motorists ‘ are in for a grueling 600 miles from the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oval with a relatively old surface which was repaved back in 2006. We saw from the All-Star race which tires did make a difference and track position was also extremely significant, therefore this race ought to offer a great mix of multiple 1.5-mile tracks.
The latest 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five at typical green-flag rate all showed up at the top nine at 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being at night and last practice during the day.
We have a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I’ll surely rely on long-haul pace in addition to 1.5-mile performance this year and past Charlotte oval performance when handicapping the race.
Equipped with all these data points, let’s get right to my favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A quick primer about the chances below: A $100 bet at +375 chances would gain $375, while a $200 wager at -200 odds would pay out $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is the favorite thanks to his exceptional speed in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this year. But, it could be claimed that Harvick should be a co-favorite despite completing only 13th on the 10-lap board in closing practice.
That’s because in opening training, he was much better relative to the rest of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the warmer temperatures is encouraging. Actually, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to monitor changes, and that they were really great in opening practice throughout the cooler temperatures.
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