There is a good deal of money to be obtained this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k from the main tournament. DK also has lots of Qualifier contests available this week, where the final event will pay $50k into 1st for those who did qualify to perform in it. I will be chasing those as well because we have not ever had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I do think we have a enjoyable card this Saturday and I am ready to enter this 3-week break with a winning night at UFC 227. Listed below are a few plays I like this weekend together with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in all DFS MMA and he’s the highest ceiling as well. DJ is the P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he has beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I am plugging in my cash LU this week and I suggest you do the same. DJ is almost sure to score at least 100-points at a win, and he’s got a -550 gambling line stating he must find the win here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to stack this battle also, but I think DJ is a must.
GPP play of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a great fight to goal this week since it probably won’t visit a decision. Holland just fought the Contender Series a few weeks back and did not get a contract. But now he is about the PPV against one of the most bizarre strikers from the branch. The ITD line for Santos is now -210 and the below 1.5 rounds betting line is -160. This tells me Vegas thinks this battle ends early and Santos is the guy which should pick up the end. At $9.2k, he readily pays that cost off at a 1st round win and I think he’s a solid shot at doing just that. I don’t care for him as much in cash game formats though because both men have quite low flooring, so this is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog play of the week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everyone is composing Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he is so cheap on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling fashion Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside even in a decision win. Of course, we’re concerned about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but if he can avoid that I believe he can win this battle and 10x his salary with a win. I don’t think Johns will wish to hit with Munhoz for 15-minutes so I do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns could get him submitted, or they may get him a triumph on the scorecards. However, this makes him a boom or bust play and that’s why he is a solid underdog to pick in GPPs this week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even at an affordable $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still need a finish to pay that price tag off with her fashion. She has the worst fashion possible for scoring DraftKings stage and even if she gets a triumph here she could end up scoring significantly less than some losers on the card. Taylor is going to be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you want to invest your cash on a 115 pound lady with a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you will be very contrarian taking that path. However, I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I was making 150 lineups, I’d still complete vanish Taylor here.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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