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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
Together with the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has proven himself well ready for the 125lb division. On the toes he should have a significant advantage over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox style, will let him land severe volume against the more limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks will be a deadly option against the front heavy karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he is to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more dangerous grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should limit Cejudo’s chances to take and on the ground he is going to be difficult to control for extended periods. Overall the road to success looks slim for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who carries good cardio and much superior volume to win over 5 rounds. The wager will be TJ Dillashaw to become the double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their match but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the feet Vanzant is more pliable but probably quicker with more quantity. Ostovich includes a simpler style but neither fighter is likely to land considerable damage here. The size and strength of Ostovich will be a major advantage on the ground where both girls have a tendency to attract the battle. Vanzant is tenacious but takes risky options and leaves a lot of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she’ll spend much more time on top or at dominant positions. Expect a back and forth struggle where we get excellent value on the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich at 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski the”Violence Queen” is creating her debut after an impressive run as the KSW winner. Matching up with Calderwood she’s the advantage in most regions. The power and aggression of Lipski’s combos in the pocket will probably be overpowering for Calderwood who lacks pace and head movement. This battle is most likely to play out on the feet but even on the mat it is Lipski with the far better abilities. Calderwood is coming from a”lucky” entry win in a fight where she was having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to struggle with adversity during conflicts and search for a way out. Lipski though appears to be quite durable and struggles with heart. In 24 years old she also will be showing substantial improvements between conflicts.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) odds. Risk 5 Units to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs to get an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a style which is proven against Cowboy together with his fast start and relentless pressure. Whether this battle goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone from the fence and procuring takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best path to success is snatching a entry off his back but that’s a little chance against a powerful wrestler. The energy, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez is going to be a great deal for the veteran to manage with only 3 rounds to operate with. Cerrone is generally a slow starter as well as the drop back to 155lb is unlikely to assist his durability problems.
Bet = Hernandez in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
That is a rematch fight in the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through conclusion. Today it is Ortiz who has shown the most improvements in his sport, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a leading contender but does seem like he’s marginally diminishing in his current appearances. As an underdog Ortiz has a few paths to victory. He will be at a disadvantage on the feet concerning volume, but packs considerable power. Benavidez was wobbled consistently lately fights suggesting his strength is evaporating. Additionally the 34 year old will slow down later in the fight since Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This ought to be a close fight that looks to be lined overly wide.
Bet = Ortiz in 3.05 (+205) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to undertake the difficult veteran Glover. On the feet the disparity is wide. Roberson is lightning fast and has powerful counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and together with his durability fading his lack of head motion is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) isn’t famous for his striking yet found enormous victory himself on the feet in his final fight against Glover. The clear issue for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he must be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may find some takedowns but if he does not get an early entry it will be tough to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Furthermore if he can’t get it to the mat his choices look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson looks a solid bet.
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