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Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using 2018 loop information and benefits, we give a championship gambling pick and also handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one tournament in their own careers, while Logano is attempting to secure his first.

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It is not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past season. Logano scored two wins himselfbut awakened 25 top-10 endings to make his shot.

Using historical loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a few other MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers innovative banking, which enables many lines to conduct .

The track surface is also quite abrasive, which wears out tires and makes new rubber a massive benefit.

With tire wear making cars hard to drive and progressive banking allowing motorists to select different lines, passing is simpler here than at most other 1.5-mile paths that are too reliant on aero for speed and therefore make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to examine the four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a bit arbitrary, but that amount was picked by me for two particular reasons. 2014 was the very first year which NASCAR went into the playoff format where drivers advance through the sport’s playoff until four remain to race .

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