View the bets that are MMABETMACHINE below for UFC FN148:
Justin Willis Breakdown:
Willis is quietly moving up the position and maintains his underrated tag. Though he looks to hold a great deal of additional weight he’s one of the more athletic heavyweights. On the feet he has fast hands and will surely have an adequate edge over Curtis Blaydes, whose stand-up continues to look rigid and predictable. Willis has not yet been tested in the takedown division but trains with superior wrestlers such as DC and Cain. Having a complete camp preparing for Blaydes, we expect him to at least be aggressive in this region to keep the fight standing for significant time. Blaydes fought to takedown southpaw fighters previously and also the size of Willis should be of further assistance. With the odds presented, the value is located with the underdog at a stylistic battle that could pose many opportunities.John Makdessi Breakdown:
Makdessi has very solid stand-up and impenetrable takedown defense. He appears to be a couple of levels above his opponent Jesus Pinedo, who is relatively inexperienced and awkward on the toes. He favours flashy kicks but his lack of footwork leaves him open to be bloated and weathered. Makdessi has a higher volume and are going to have the ability to consistently land on Pinedo. Since moving to a top new camp he appears rejuvenated and seemed really impressive in recent excursions. The experience advantage for Makdessi is enormous and the only clear way to lose this one is by getting clipped by a crazy kick. The choice is Makdessi, likely via TKO.
Bet = Makdessi at 1.38 (-260) chances. Risk 4 Units to win 1.52 Units.
Frankie Saenz Breakdown:
Saenz is getting older but still owns a style to give his competitor trouble. He relies on his wrestling and anxiety to fasten rounds while his standup is serviceable. Vera is a wild fighter who is often losing struggles until he finds out a comeback win. He’s obviously dangerous but when he cant find the finish the fight will quickly slip away. Vera is going to have the youth and speed benefit but Saenz will be the one procuring rounds with volume and takedowns from a fighter who fights his back. The experience advantage for Saenz is a big factor against this type of fighter. Saenz will have to avoid submissions but a path to success for the underdog is apparent.
Bet = Saenz at 2.45 (+145) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.35 Units.
Chris Gutierrez Breakdown:
Gutierrez seems to have his opponent outmatched in just about any facet for this matchup. He’s got the superior striking skills, more recognized grappling and takedown defense. Additionally the level of resistance he’s experienced far surpasses Macdonald who has largely faced fighters with losing records. Macdonald could be undefeated but he’s fought against such fighters and had a few very close fights go to conclusion. His one positive seems to be toughness as he recovers well from being dropped. We enjoy the favorite to get this one finished early.
Bet = Gutierrez in 1.4 (-250) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 1.6 Units.
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