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Israel Adesanya Breakdown
Adesanya comes into this fight with plenty of benefits over the considerably smaller Gastelum, who’s giving up almost 9 inches of reach. On the feet it is the technical accumulation strategy of Adesanya that can give him a substantial edge. He has a much more varied arsenal with powerful leg kicks a strong option against Kelvin, who will need to remain volatile to have any hope closing the distance that is striking. Defensively Adesanya is solid, rolling with punches and never committing himself to be exposed to counter shots. He is a slow starter but ends up the quantity once he’s a stronger feel for his opponent.
Gastelum has quickly boxing combinations and has utilized this to score some notable finishes. The standard of Kelvin’s resistance is questionable with a lot of older fighters crumbling after getting caught by his superior speed or cardio. Gastelum has a wrestling background but has not made a focal point of his UFC run. In this fight the dimensions and takedown defense of Adesanya should mean this remains standing. Kelvin has limited paths to victory outside of landing a flush KO shot and given the advantage and protection of Adesanya that does look unlikely.
Since moving around Middleweight Gastelum has was remarkable despite his height and reach. Weidman revealed us that size may be a large factor where the older fighters of the branch were not able to press the advantage. Adesanya should have the ability to control this fight to keep position, where he is going to be able to style on Gastelum from range. Round one can be close but past that it will be one way traffic. A late finish or comfy decision appear equally likely.Dustin Poirier Breakdown
These men struggle in what ought to be an extremely competitive fight. Both men favour their striking with Holloway’s volume style according to Poirier’s technical principles together with surprising power. The people seem to be all over Holloway following his remarkable Ortega triumph and thus the bookie has him lined a substantial favorite. While his boxing and cardio is unmatched at 145lb, it could be a different story here. Poirier hits very difficult, with considerably more energy than anything Max would have undergone lately. If there was a weakness Holloway’s game it is that he takes a lot of blank shots, and there’s absolutely no reason a crisp one from Poirier can not end the fight.
This battle is likely to start off in Poirier’s favour because he lands the more impacting shots and makes use of his reach advantage. Holloway will need to endure until the later rounds in an effort to conquer Poirier with his cardio and pace. Dustin is no slouch in this region and is extremely hard to put himself away. We view this as an early stoppage for Poirier or close decision headed to the judges. The center rounds will be crucial in deciding the winner. In +180 the value is apparent, back the dangerous fighter who has firmly established himself on top of their toughest division in the game.
Bet = Poirier at 2.80 (+180) odds. Risk 4 Units to win 7.2 Units.
Eryk Anders Breakdown
Rountree is a dangerous striker, equally fast and powerful, but his one dimensional gameplan makes him quite beatable. Of most concern is that his gas tank that’s quickly depleted as he spams power shots early. Furthermore his grappling and wrestling is well below average. Rountree is coming from a big KO loss to Johnny Walker.
Anders is quite durable and has a fundamental but harmful striking design himself. The key to victory will be his superior pressure as he can mix in takedowns to wear Rountree out, negating his energy. Rountree is stuck in the bottom of the rankings compared to Anders who lately had competitive match with the title challenger Santos. Start looking for him to survive a few early scares to then execute his wrestling and take over the fight beyond round one.
Bet = Anders in 1.54 (-185) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 1.62 Units.
Alan Jouban Breakdown
Jouban comes into this battle with much more expertise but also a 5??? attain disadvantage. Grant is 34 years of age and improbable to make huge strides in his entire game. He does not look very striking with sloppy technique but does have big capability to land the kill shot. Jouban’s strength is an issue but overall he is the much superior fighter. Start looking for him to bring a smart game-plan for this one and utilize his arsenal to outside strike Grant. Jouban has sneaky power himself but a choice is also likely. .
Bet = Jouban at 2.0 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Max Griffin Breakdown
Imadaev is very unproven and at only 24 decades old has been winning against inferior opposition in the regional landscape. He looks to be getting a great deal of respect from the chances makers, possibly because of his Russian background. This is a big step up against Max Griffin who is a demanding UFC veteran. He brings solid boxing and power and can blend from the odd takedown when required. Griffin’s question mark is certainly his strength, as he gets rocked in the majority of fights, but he has a fighters attitude for coming back from adversity. Imadaev could be the real deal in which case that is likely to be an action packed affair. Otherwise search for Griffin to box up the inexperienced rookie. At slight underdog chances we enjoy a wager on the more established fighter.
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