The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and 2 quick 1.5-mile tracks in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Dragon Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of the one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 preferred to accumulate another win at the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch reaches 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix chances after a strong start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Before you make your own 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you look at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into consideration.
It made some enormous calls in NASCAR this past year, including properly casting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. And it is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . Is way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in places like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His version has simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we could inform you the model is top on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off as a very long shot at 25-1 NASCAR chances. He’s a target for anybody searching for a payday.
Bowyer struck a five-season drought without a win last year and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to some 12th-place end in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he has added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has revealed impressive speed at times. Bowyer has seven career top-10s in Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was second in among the year’s Daytona Duels and closed out last year’s NASCAR schedule using an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come equipped to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar vehicle set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
Among those shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the pack consistently at this particular track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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