For the uninitiated, betting on the cash line means betting on which group you think will win the game. The cash line is corrected depending on the spread to help risk is mitigated by books.
For example, a favorite of four factors in the NBA could have a money lineup of around -184. This means that you would have to bet $184 to win $100 if you wager on that group to win.
To get underdogs it works a bit differently. A underdog from the NBA would have a money line listed at roughly +150. This means is that you would win $150 for every $100 wagered on this team if they were to win the match outright.
Converting NBA Spreads What I am really interested in is whether money line gambling from the NBA is profitable. I moved over the outcomes of over 20,000 games to find out how teams have played on the money line. I wished to see if it’s worth taking at any different spreads.
The chart below demonstrates what the cash line for NBA games at every spread needs to be based on the outcomes of over 28,000 NBA games. It is necessary to be aware that these will be the fair market values for every money line. Sportsbooks do not provide fair market odds (otherwise they’d find it tough to turn a profit). This way we can use the information to identify possible opportunities to take the money line when it is not properly priced. Since we’ve taken their built in edge from every chance, we could feel confident that we are getting real value if the cash line posted at our book is far better than the price in the graph.
The more common the spread, the more accurate the win percentage is going to be. We have excluded spreads with less than 100 games to look at, but in reality you are better off considering those using a sample size of 500 or more matches.
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