NASCAR heads into the third 1.5-mile oval track this season, and the first time all year we will see a repeat at the principles package and tire wear mix. Texas is a tire wear similar to Las Vegas, as a result of reconfiguration and its repave before the 2017 season.
Because of this, this race in Texas should most closely resemble the race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway — another 1.5-mile low tire wear oval that used the aero duct package.
NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Texas O’Reilly Auto Parts 500
Read today Not only will I be leaning heavily on Las Vegas, but we should also think of the races at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Auto Club Speedway, that were run under similar, but not totally comparable conditions. I will also utilize Texas data as the 2017 repave.
There are 3 matchups that offer great value.
Kevin Harvick (+130) over Kyle Busch
Kyle Busch is the defending race winner at Texas along with the hottest driver on the circuit, which is driving Busch’s cost with this one. But give Harvick in Texas to me. Westgate has this in +130 if you’re in Las Vegas for the NCAA Tournament. In fact, I take Harvick down . Looking at flag speed at Las Vegas, Atlanta and Auto Club’s 3 ovals, Harvick has the second-best rate, edging out. But looking at Las Vegas alone, Harvick had the fastest flag average speed while Busch came in third.
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