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Notre Dame (9) vs Louisville
Monday, September 2 nd, 8:00 PM at Cardinal Stadium
Swinging Johnson: This week Doug Upstone and that I shall detract from our regularly scheduled program of NFL discussion to dip our feet into uncharted waters and leave our college football picks on the Monday night game between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Louisville Cardinals.
It will most likely be the very first and only time this year we do so, as the previous week of display NFL football is somewhat lackluster compared to a regular-season game of NCAA soccer featuring one of the top clubs in the country, plus a legendary football program to boot, Notre Dame.
Without further ado, lets begin the discussion after my buddy Doug Upstone got the best of me last week while I backed the Titans. We have been placing wins back and forth so it appears like it is my turn for the golden wreath, like I heartily endorse the Irish and will follow all the squares laying the heavy lumber onto a public street favorite.
After reviewing the school football odds nearly six days before this Monday night affair, I see the line has spiked a half-point about the favorite, starting at Notre Dame -19 1/2 to where it is currently offered at a solid -20 across the board at all of the best internet sportsbooks.
Youre currently leaning onto the Cardinals although I enjoy the Irish. Aside from the place, why do you think Louisville could hang with the boys out of South Bend?
Doug Upstone: Yes and a convincing triumph IMO, it said a lot about the Steelers and Titans direction. Let us proceed to real soccer, will our records with this one and in which the games rely.
Recall those Thursday night matches Louisville utilized to perform against big-name competitions? They held their engineered and own upsets. These were fun games and also the Cardinals were a thrilling club.
But such as the former Papa Johns Stadium and its phony (in real life) owner, Louisville soccer last season was worse than the usual three-day-old pizza.
Scott Satterfield are out to change the culture and win games and worked miracles. This wont happen right away as the talent level is down from theVille. However , this is a major moment for Louisville, a team which has the chance.
I have read where the Cards trainers have popped up the slow mechanisms of QB Jawon Pass (good name for a QB) and that I enjoy Hassan Hall as the lead running back. The defense, well, which makes me more nervous than using a ticket for the Colts at OVER 9 for season wins. Why you have your Irish up please dont forget.
Swinging Johnson: The Cardinals wont be doing much since the Notre Dame defense will keep them comfortable in their nest flying into this match. Scott Satterfield is in the big leagues and hes got a group coming from a dismal 2-10 record where they went winless this past year. This rebuild is akin to trying to turn it and carrying a hot air balloon.
While this may eventually happen, the problem is that Louisville is facing a team which made it into the CFP last year and possessed only one of the stingiest defenses in all of college football, surrendering just 17.2 points over the regular season and moving a perfect 12-0 until they fulfilled Clemson from the CFP semifinals. The Irish offense clicked on all cylinders as well, averaging over 33 points per match.
My issue is, how can be a quarterback like traveling whos slow to release, designed to obtain some traction against a shield that is Irish? Especially when he is working with a new trainer and an offensive scheme that is entirely new?
Please, Doug, save me I am lost! I see no way, shape or form in which Louisville is going to have the ability to keep up with the Golden Domers and Im desperate to your brand new wisdom and prodigious handicapping expertise!
Doug Upstone: Well, Swinger, Im happy to read in your last sentence youre coming on to the glowing side of sport gambling, or you are simply being the same wise a** you are. Ill allow the SBR readers that are currently making college football picks decide on this. I am the first to understand Louisville was 1-11 ATS, although not only 2-10 and fully pumped last season.
Like he gave up around the Atlanta Falcons, but that team COMPLETELY gave up on coach Bobby Petrino. A coach brings a fresh mindset and his staff will be sold by Satterfield on building a statement, with this being a match. Louisville does have to trust they will not be taken by the Irish and not have a lot of fight.
Lets also consider, Brian Kelly with the gold and blue is just 10-13-1 ATS as a road favorite, and when dishing out 20 or more digits, a mere 7-9-1 ATS. That defense you said might improve as the year progresses but substituting five starters, even if you dont/can not recruit like Bama or Clemson, it is going to take some time.
Swinging Johnson: Well Doug, I was becoming a bit facetious because although you have an impressive handicapping resume, you miss the mark from time to time. And in this situation, you happen to be shooting, since Louisville might be better compared to last year but I would submit that they are trained with a Rhesus monkey and enhance upon their deplorable album rendered by an equally incompetent trainer like Petrino.
I know that placing nearly three touchdowns on the road would be square biz for sure and Joe Q. Public never got rich by gambling the heavy street chalk, but at times the public is right, and in this instance they definitely are. Until next week when we get back on our NFL Game of the Week, let us see what happens on Monday night once the Irish come ready to squint at Louisville.
Free College Football Pick: Swinging Johnson — Notre Dame -20 (-110)
Free College Football Pick: Doug Upstone — Louisville +20 (-110)
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