The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series moves in the high-speed two-mile Trail of Auto Club Speedway to the 0.5-mile paperclip track of Martinsville for the STP 500.
Last week, Kyle Busch became the first repeat winner of this season and oddsmakers believe he is primed for a third win in a row as they’ve made him the favorite in +220.
BetOnline has Busch as the favored at +220 followed closely by Brad Keselowski at +500, Martin Truex Jr. in +600, Joey Logano at +750 and Denny Hamlin in +1000 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.
Standout Stats
Ford automobiles have won three of the previous four races at Martinsville, including both runnings there last season.
Joey Logano looks to become the first back-to-back winner at the paperclip since Jimmie Johnson won consecutive races there in 2012 and 2013.
The pole at Martinsville hasn’t won in the last 11 races dating back to 2013. In eight of the last 11 runnings, the winner qualified fifth or even worse.
You may be looking at Kevin Harvick as a value pick at +1600, but the California native has just one win in 35 starts at Martinsville and that victory arrived in 2011. He hasn’t finished better than fifth there since that succeed in 2011.
Joey Logano has qualified on the pole in four of the past eight races in the paperclip but just finished on the podium twice over that span, including the latest conducting in October of last year, he won.
Clint Bowyer won the spring race last year at Martinsville, top 215 of the 500 laps, and has finished in the top five in six of the 26 career starts at this course.
Kyle Busch has won two of the previous six races at Martinsville and has finished fifth or better in each of the last seven runnings there. Furthermore, he’s led the most laps in three of their last six races.
My Very Best Bet for your STP 500
Kyle Busch +220
Although it’s not a long-shot pick, I think it’s the smart one. The Nevada native hasn’t finished worse than fifth in any of the last seven races at Martinsville, such as finishing first or second in four of these runnings. He is carrying a lot of momentum into this weekend, having won the last two races on this season.
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